get_forecast
Four things in one call: the odds an asset ends a month above each price, what
is priced into each upcoming Fed meeting, the rate curve those meetings move, and
where option open interest already sits.
None of it is a forecast. Each figure is what somebody is currently paying to be
right, which is a better input than an opinion and a worse one than a fact.
Odds by strike
The prediction market’s probability that an asset ends a month above each strike, with the money behind each one. As of 2026-09-12: 121 rungs across BTC and ETH. A rung is a price and a probability, so the ladder is a distribution rather than a forecast. Read the shape, not any single rung.Volume is reported beside every rung for a reason. A 3% probability on a rung
with a few hundred dollars behind it is not a market view, it is one person. The
odds mean something in proportion to what is staked on them.
What is priced into each Fed meeting
The next four meetings, each with the expected move in basis points, the probability of a hike, the probability of a cut, and the volume behind them. For the 2026-09-16 meeting, as of 2026-09-12: +20.1 bps expected, an 80.2% chance of a hike against 0.4% for a cut, on $135m of volume.The curve those meetings move
The rates the decision acts on, so the expectation above sits beside the thing it is about:
An 80% chance of a hike means one thing with a 10y–2y spread of +0.39 and
another with an inverted one. That is why they arrive together.
Where the option market has already committed
Open interest by expiry, with the busiest strike in each. Odds say what people think; open interest says where they have already put money and cannot quietly change their mind.This part is only as deep as the option-chain stream, which begins 2026-09-10,
a daily Deribit snapshot per instrument. Where it holds nothing for a window, it
returns nothing rather than an empty-looking zero.